October 7, 2022


News maps in Arizona, Michigan and Washington were drawn by redistricting commissions. Republicans controlled holding the lines in Kansas and Missouri.

Here’s a look at the key House primaries we’re watching Tuesday:

Arizona

Republicans are looking at pickup opportunities in several districts made more favorable to the party under the new map.

In the news 2nd District, which Trump would have by 8 points in 2020, several Republicans are challenging Democratic Rep. Tom O’Halleran. They include Navy veteran Eli Crane, who has Trump’s support. State Rep. Walt Blackman, an Army veteran and the first black Republican elected to the Arizona Legislature. and business consultant Mark DeLuzio.

New 6th District, which Joe Biden would hold just one-tenth of the unit, is a successor seat in southeastern Arizona to the one vacated by retiring Democratic Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick. The GOP front-runner is Juan Ciscomani, who worked at the Tucson Hispanic Chamber of Commerce and was a senior adviser to Gov. Doug Ducey. The leading Democratic candidates include former Sen. Kirsten Engel, who has Kirkpatrick’s backing, and state Rep. Daniel Hernandez, who was an intern for Democratic Rep. Gabby Giffords in 2011 when he helped save her life after she was seriously injured to shooting outside. a Tucson grocery store.

Republicans are also targeting Democratic Rep. Greg Stanton in the Phoenix area 4th District, which Biden would have by 10 points. Top GOP contenders include Tanya Contreras Wheeless, a former Phoenix Suns executive who has the backing of House GOP Conference Chairwoman Elise Stefanik’s PAC, and Marine Corps veteran Kelly Cooper.

Meanwhile, in the new 1st Districtalso in the Phoenix area, six-term Rep. David Schweikert, previously impeached by the House for ethics violations, faces a stiff challenge from businessman Elijah Norton, who has attacked the establishment over his ethics issues and had lent more than $4.3 million to his campaign as of July 13. Democrats are targeting this seat, which Trump would hold by less than 2 points. Their top hopefuls include community leader Jevin Hodge, who participates in the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee’s Red to Blue program for promising recruits, and former Phoenix Suns executive Adam Metzendorf.

Kansas

Two-term Rep. Sharice Davids — who made history in 2018 as one of the first Native American women elected to Congress — is the only Democrat in the Kansas delegation and saw her district in Kansas City 3rd District change from a Biden who had 11 points in 2020 to one who would support him by 4 points. Davins will likely face a rematch with former Kansas GOP Chairwoman Amanda Adkins, who is a member of the National Republican Congressional Committee’s Young Guns program for powerful recruits.

Michigan

Michigan’s new citizen-driven redistricting commission created a congressional map that was deemed more reflective of the purple state.

The Democratic outlook has improved in the Grand Rapids area 3rd District, which Biden would have by about 9 points. Rep. Peter Meijer, one of 10 Republicans who voted to impeach Trump after the January 6, 2021 riot at the US Capitol, faces a tough primary challenge from Trump-backed John Gibbs, a former Department of Housing and Urban Development official Development. The Democratic House campaign has recently drawn criticism from within the party for running ads promoting Gibbs, whom it sees as a weaker opponent in the general election. Hillary Solten, a lawyer who lost to Major in 2020, is running unopposed for the Democratic nomination.
The redesigned 11th District in suburban Detroit has a member versus member Democratic primary between Reps. Haley Stevens and Andy Levin. The race has become one of the key battlegrounds in the party’s evolving rift over Israel and overlapping debates over the Democrats’ broader ideological direction. Levin, who is Jewish, has the backing of the campaign arm of J-Street, a moderate “pro-Israel, pro-peace” group, while Stevens, who is not Jewish, has benefited from Plan United spending Democracy. super PAC affiliated with the more hawkish American Israel Public Affairs Committee, or AIPAC. High-profile Democrats lined up in the race, with former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton endorsing Stevens and Levin securing the support of Sens. Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders. The winner will be heavily favored in the fall in a district that would support Biden by 20 points.

Republicans, meanwhile, have their eyes on three seats in Michigan.

In the news 10th District, a suburban Detroit seat that would support Trump by 1 point in 2020, Army veteran John James, who lost closer-than-expected US Senate races in 2018 and 2020, is the front-runner for the GOP nomination. James is in the NRCC’s Young Guns program and has Trump’s endorsement. Democrats seeking the seat include former local attorney and judge Carl Marlinga, attorney and Palestinian rights activist Huwaida Arraf and Warren City Council member Angela Rogensues.

The GOP is also targeting Democratic Rep. Elissa Slotkin in the new Lansing-anched 7th District and Dan Kildee in the new 8th District, featuring Flint. Sen. Tom Barrett is the only Republican seeking to challenge Slotkin, while three Republicans are vying to take on Kildy. Biden would almost have both seats.

Meanwhile, two deep blue Detroit-area seats have competitive Democratic primaries. In the news 12th District, Democratic Rep. Rashida Tlaib, a member of the House progressive “caucus,” faces Detroit City Clerk Janice Winfrey, Village of Lathrup Mayor Kelly Garrett and former state Rep. Shanelle Jackson. Out in the open 13th District, top Democrats include state Sen. Adam Hollier, an Army veteran. Michigan Civil Rights Commission Chairwoman Portia Roberson, who has endorsed the retirement of Detroit-area Representative Brenda Lawrence. and self-financed state representative Shri Thanedar, who was a gubernatorial candidate in 2018.

Missouri

With no swing seats in Missouri, the GOP’s 6-2 advantage in the state’s U.S. House delegation is expected to hold in November. But there are several competitive qualifiers.

In deep blue St. Louis-anchored 1st District, Democratic Rep. Cory Bush, who toppled an incumbent in the last primary, faces several in-party challengers Tuesday, including state Sen. Steve Roberts. Bush, who has gained national attention as a member of the progressive House “caucus,” holds a strong fundraising advantage in the race.
With GOP Reps. Vicky Hartzler and Billy Long running for U.S. Senate, the deep red seats they’re vacating have attracted plenty of interest. Among the Republicans looking to succeed Hartzler in the 4th District, encompassing parts of western and central Missouri, are Navy veteran and former Boone County Clerk Taylor Burks, former TV news anchor Mark Alford, state Sen. Rick Brattin and farmer and CPA Kalena Bruce, who has Governor Mike Parson’s endorsement. GOP hopes for Long’s 7th District The Southwest Missouri seats include former state Sen. Jay Wasson and state Sens. Eric Burlison and Mike Moon.

Washington

Two House Republicans in the Evergreen State who participated in the so-called impeachment 10 also face primary challengers backed by Trump on Tuesday. But Reps. Jaime Herrera Beutler and Dan Newhouse’s chances of survival may be better than Meijer’s under Washington state’s open primary system, which sees all candidates on the same ballot, regardless of party, with the top two gather votes to advance to November.
Herrera Beutler is seeking a seventh term in the 3rd District, a southwest Washington seat that Trump would carry by 4 points in 2020. Army veteran Joe Kent, a fellow Republican who has Trump’s support, says the 2020 election was stolen and he has made the incumbent’s impeachment vote a centerpiece of his campaign. Other candidates on the ballot include author Heidi St. John and state Rep. Vicki Kraft, both Republicans, and Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez, an auto repair shop owner.

In the 4th District, in central Washington, Trump endorsed Army veteran Lauren Culp to face Newhouse, who is seeking a fifth term. Culp was the GOP candidate for governor of Washington in 2020, and even though he lost by more than 500,000 votes, he refused to concede, repeating the same campaign lies as the former President. Newhouse holds a significant fundraising advantage over his opponents, who also include Navy veteran and former NASCAR driver Jerrod Sessler, a Republican, and businessman Doug White, a Democrat.

And two-term Rep. Kim Schrier is again a GOP target in the 8th District, east of Seattle, which Biden would carry by 7 points. Her Republican challengers include Army veteran Jesse Jensen, who lost to Schrier by less than 4 points in 2020. Matt Larkin, who ran unsuccessfully for attorney general in 2020. and King County Councilman Reagan Dunn , whose mother, the late Rep. Jennifer Dunn, represented an earlier version of the district.

CNN’s Renée Rigdon contributed to this report.





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