May 26, 2024


A new Democratic survey shows about two-thirds of voters support the health care and climate change package negotiated by Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (DN.Y.) and Sen. Joe Manchin (DW.Va.), the first polling data on what is expected to be President Joe Biden’s signature domestic achievement.

The Navigator Research poll, conducted by the Democratic firm Global Strategy Group and sourced exclusively from HuffPost, tested both halves of the $740 billion “De-Inflation Act.” One respondent asked about the various ways the legislation would raise revenue — a minimum tax on corporations and stronger Internal Revenue Service enforcement, while another asked about the legislation’s spending on health care and climate mitigation. change.

Both questions found that about two-thirds of voters supported the plan, while 24% opposed it. The plan was popular among virtually all categories of voters except Republicans, with majorities of independents, Latino voters, white voters, and voters with both college and no college educations supporting it.

“Broad support for the deflation bill across party lines is consistent with the steady popularity of President Biden’s economic agenda across Navigator tracking,” said Bryan Bennett, a consultant at Navigator Research. “Democrats in Congress and the White House should emphasize that the legislation will put money back into the pockets of working Americans and hold corporations accountable, and call out Republicans who oppose the bill for prioritizing the wealth of its donors and corporations. their campaign against the needs of their constituents. .”

Navigator suggested Democrats focus on what they called the “fiscally persuasive audience,” a group of voters who both disapprove of Biden’s handling of the economy but support the proposed legislation. That group amounts to about 3 in 10 Americans, including 42% of independents, 42% of 18- to 34-year-olds, 39% of service workers and 31% of white voters without a college education.

Questions about how a particular bill or issue will affect voter choices are very difficult, but the survey found that 50% of voters said passing the legislation would make them more likely to vote for Democrats, while the 21% said it made them less likely. Among the “financially convinced,” 55% said it made them more likely, while just 13% said it made them less likely.

Overall, Biden’s approval rating stands at 41 percent in the survey — a number largely in line with other polls — while 57 percent of voters disapprove of his performance. He fares even worse for the economy: 60% of voters disapprove, while just 38% approve.

The online survey was conducted from July 28 to August 1 and included 1,007 registered voters, as well as additional Latino, Black, Asian American and independent voters.

Democrats hope to pass the package, which also includes $300 billion in deficit reduction and a plan to allow Medicare to negotiate prescription drug prices, through the Senate in the coming days, although Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D- Ariz.) has remained silent on the legislation and could derail their plans.


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