May 30, 2023

Republicans lead Democrats on the general congressional ballot by three points, down two points from last week and down seven points from last week, according to a Rasmussen Reports poll released Friday.

As Republicans try to regain control of Congress in the 2022 midterm elections — which are just 95 days away — after being in the minority for about four years, the most recent Rasmussen Reports survey found that 46 percent of likely U.S. voters would choose Republican , compared to 43 percent who said they would vote for a Democrat.

That leaves Republicans with just a three-point lead, which is two points less than last week and seven points less than two weeks ago, when they were up ten points. Five percent said they would vote for another candidate, and another nine percent said they weren’t sure.

The Republicans’ three-point lead shows the party has lost growing momentum in the polls. However, with the election less than four months away, there is still time for the general ballot to move either way before November. But Republicans have so far led the popular vote all year.

Rasmussen noted that in August 2018 — before the Democrats took the House for the first time in eight years — they had a six-point advantage on the general congressional ballot. But as the November 2018 midterm elections approached, the margins between Democrats and Republicans done extremely close — Republicans had 46 percent, to 45 percent for Democrats.

In this poll, the GOP has a slight edge with independents over Democrats. Among voters not affiliated with either major party, 39 percent said they would vote for the Democratic nominee, while only 36 percent said they would vote for the Democratic nominee.

Additionally, 22 percent of black voters and 43 percent of other minority groups said they would vote for the Republican nominee if the election were held today. 64 percent of black voters and 40 percent of other minority groups said they would vote Democratic. Compared to last week, Democrats have lost one percent of black voters.

In addition, there is a difference in voter intensity between the parties, with 87% of Republican voters saying they would vote for their party’s candidate for Congress and only 82% of Democrats saying the same.

The Rasmussen Reports survey was be conducted from July 31 to August 4 and surveyed 2,500 likely United States voters. The survey had a margin of error of two percent and a confidence level of 95 percent.

Jacob Bliss is a reporter for Breitbart News. Write to him at or follow him on Twitter @JacobMBliss.

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