October 4, 2022

Jamahal Hill says he doesn’t care too much about self-promotion because if he does his job, the recognition will come at the right time. The rising light heavyweight contender headlines for the second time on Saturday when he faces veteran Thiago Santos in the main event of UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill. The contenders’ matchup will anchor the UFC main card (10 p.m. ET) from the Apex facility in Las Vegas. No. 10-ranked Hill has just one loss in six UFC appearances and has scored a knockout in each of his last three victories. He is looking for a signature win against No. 6-ranked Santos, who need a win to protect their ranking after losing three of their last four outings.

Hill is a -280 favorite ($280 risk to win $100), while Santos is priced at +240 in the latest UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill from Caesars Sportsbook. In the co-main event, welterweight contenders take the spotlight as Vicente Luque (-175) meets Geoff Neal (+155). Before you book into any UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill picks, Be sure to check out MMA predictions and betting tips from SportsLine expert Andrew Gombas.

Gobas is a former NCAA wrestler who uses his experience on the mat to understand and analyze the X’s and O’s of MMA fights in a way that sets him apart from other MMA analysts. He launched the MMA MMA Knockout Bets handicapping service in 2018 and has been profitable every year since.

With more than 1,400 picks tracked by third-party tracking service Bet MMA, it has shown a 6 percent return on investment for its followers. In the past two years, his followers have earned more than $10,000.

At UFC 275 in June, Gombas swept the board with his main card picks, and the five-fight sweep included tips for SportsLine members to back Jake Matthews (+125) over Andre Fialho (-145) in a fight of welterweight prospects. Matthews dominated from the opening bell and scored a second-round stoppage to give Gombas supporters another easy winner. Anyone who has followed Gombas has already seen huge returns.

Now, with UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill approaching, Gombas studied the card from every angle and released his top MMA picks. Gombas picks for UFC Fight Night are available only on SportsLine.

UFC Fight Night: Preview Santos vs. Hill

Santos (23-10) has homered in five of his last six appearances, including the last two, but his time as the bullpen will be over if he comes up short again Saturday.

The 38-year-old Brazilian has been involved in numerous memorable fights and has a long list of notable victories, including a knockout over former champion Jan Blachowicz.

He also pushed Jones to the wire in their title fight at UFC 239 before dropping a split decision. He suffered knee injuries in that fight that required multiple surgeries and a 16-month layoff from the sport. Santos hasn’t looked the same since his return, with an ignominious decision over Johnnie Walker last October his only win in four appearances.

In many ways, Santos will be facing a younger version of himself in Hill (10-1-1), who is 4-1-1 in six UFC appearances. The 31-year-old Chicago native is similarly an explosive athlete who possesses lethal power and a variety of tools.

Hill’s only UFC loss came to veteran Paul Craig in June last year, but he responded with first-round knockouts of Jimmy Crute and Walker. Hill will likely move into the top five of the standings and into the title race conversation with another impressive win. You can see just who to pick on UFC Fight Night here.

UFC Fight Night Predictions

We’ll share one of Gombas’ picks for UFC Fight Night here: She’s backing Mayra Bueno Silva (+105) to raise her hand against Stephanie Egger (-125) in a fight with women’s prospects on the preliminary card.

Egger (7-2) is a versatile talent and finisher who has three knockouts and three submissions among her seven professional MMA wins. The 33-year-old Swiss fighter lost her UFC debut but has won two straight since, including a first-round submission of Jessica-Rose Clark in February.

Bueno Silva (8-2-1) is a Brazilian grappling specialist who has gone 2-1-1 in her last four UFC outings. The 30-year-old received a performance bonus for her win over Wu Yanan in April.

“Bueno Silva should dominate as long as these two are up. Egger hasn’t shown the ability to fight from space or chain together that she would need to get top time against Bueno Silva. I expect from Bueno Silva to win,” Gobas told SportsLine. See who else to choose here.

How to make UFC Fight Night picks

Gombas also has strong options for Santos vs. Hill and other bouts on the UFC Fight Night card. He also backs a fighter who “has a more diverse striking style” to come away with a huge win. These UFC Fight Night picks are only available on SportsLine.

Who wins Santos vs Hill? And what other options should you look at? Visit SportsLine now for detailed top picks for UFC Fight Night, all from the experts who have won more than $10,000 on MMA picks over the past two yearsand learn.

UFC Fight Night odds, fight card

See full UFC Fight Night picks, predictions, best bets on SportsLine.
Jamal Hill (-280) vs. Thiago Santos (+240)
Vicente Luque (-175) vs. Geoff Neal (+155)
Terrance McKinney (-900) vs. Erik Gonzalez (+600)
Sergey Spivak (-230) vs. Augusto Sakai (+190)
Michal Oleksiejczuk (-600) vs. Sam Alvey (+450)
Brian Battle (-230) vs. Takashi Sato (+195)
Ariane Lipski (-170) vs. Priscila Cachoeira (+150)
Stephanie Egger (-125) vs. Mayra Bueno Silva (+105)
Josh Quinlan (-220) vs Jason Witt (+190)
Corey McKenna (-220) vs. Miranda Granger (+190)
Zac Pauga (-240) vs Mohammed Usman (+200)
Julianna Miller (-120) vs. Brogan Walker (+100)

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